Friday, May 17, 2013

Unit 7: Exchange Rates, the Balance of Payments, and Trade Deficits

Balance of Payments
  • Measure of money inflows and outflows between the U.S. and the World (ROW).
    • Inflows are referred to as credits
    • Outflows are referred to as debits
  • The Balance of Payments is divided into 3 accounts
    • Current Account
    • Capital/Financial Account
    • Federal Reserves Account
Double Entry Book Keeping
  • Every transaction in the balance of payments is recorded twice in accordance with standard accounting price
    • Example - US manufacture, John Deere, exports $50 million worth of farm equipment to Ireland.
      • A credit of $50 million to the capital / financial account (+ $50 million worth of Euros or financial assets)  
      • A debit of $50 million to the capital / financial account (+ $50 million worth of Euros or financial assets)
    • Notice that the two transactions offset each other. Theoretically, the balance payments should always equal zero
Current Account
  • Balance of Trade or Net Exports
    • Exports of goods / services - imports of goods/ services
    • Exports create a credit to balance payments
    • Imports create a debit to balance payments
Net Foreign Income
  • Income earned by U.S. owned foreign assets, income paid to foreign held U.S. assets
    • Example - Interest payments on U.S. owned Brazilian bonds - interest payments on German owned U.S. treasury bonds


Net Transfers 
  • tend to be unilateral
  • Foreign Aid -> a debit to the current account
    • Example - Mexican migrant workers send money to family in Mexico


Capital/Financial Account
  • The balance of capital ownership
  • Includes the purchase of both real and financial assets
  • Direct investment in U.S. is a credit to the capital account
    • Example - Toyota Factory in San Antonio
  • Direct investment by U.S. firms/individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account
    • Example - The Intel factory in San Jose, Costa Rica
  • Purchase of foreign financial assets represents a debit to the capital account
    • Example - Warren Buffet buys stocks in PetroChina
  • Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account
    • Example - The UAE sovereign wealth fund purchases a large stake in the NASDAQ
What Causes Capital/Financial Accounts?
  • Differences in rates of return on investment
  • Ceteris Paribus : savings will flow toward higher returns


Relationships between Current and Capital Account
  • The Current Account and Capital Account should zero each other out
  • Current account negative balance = deficit
  • Capital account positive balance = surplus

Official Reserves
  • The foreign currency holdings of the United States Federal Reserve System
  • When there is a balance of payments surplus, the Fed accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments
  • When there is a balance of payments deficit, the Fed depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments
  • The official reserves zero out the balance of payments
Credits vs. Debits
  • Credits - additions to a nation's account
  • Debit - subtractions to a nation's account


How to Calculate the following
  • Balance on trade
    • merchandise and service exports
    • merchandise and service imports
  • Trade deficits occur when the balance of trade is negative (imports>exports)
    • trade surplus occurs when the balance on trade is positive
  • Balance on current account
    • Balance on trade (exports and imports)  + Net investment Income + Transfer Payments
  • Official Reserves
    • nationally change in CA + change in 7A + change in official reserve
Foreign Exchange (FOREX)
  • The buying and selling of currency
    • Example - In order to purchase souvenirs in France,  it is first necessary for Americans to sell (supply) their dollars and buy (demand) Euros.
  • The Exchange rate (e) is determined in the foreign currency markets.
    • Example - the current exchange rate is approximately 77 Japanese Yen to 1 US Dollar
  • Simply put, the exchange rate is the price of a currency.
  • Do not try to calculate the exact exchange rate

Changes in Exchange Rates
  • Exchange rates are a function of the supply and demand for currency
  • An increase in supply of a currency will decrease the exchange rate of a currency
  • A decrease in supply of a currency will increase the exchange rate of a currency
  • An increase in demand for a currency will increase the exchange rate of a currency
  • A decrease in demand for a currency will decrease the exchange rate of a currency


Appreciation and Depreciation
  • Appreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate of that currency increases
  • Depreciation of a currency occurs when the exchange rate of that currency decreases
    • Example - German tourists flock to America to go shopping, then the supply of euros will increase and the demand for dollars will increase. This will cause the euro to depreciate and the dollar to appreciate


Exchange Rate Determinants
  • Consumer Tastes
  • Relative Income
  • Relative Price Level
  • Speculation (stocks, interests, bonds)


Foreign Exchange Market Tips
  • Always change the Demand line on one currency graph the Supply line on the other currency's graph
  • Move the lines of the two currency graphs in the same direction (right/left) and you will get the answer
  • If Demand on one graph increases, Supply will also increase
  • If Demand moves to the left, Supply will move to the left on the other graph


Absolute Advantage vs. Comparative Advantage
  • Absolute Advantage - faster, more efficient, makes more
  • Comparative Advantage - lower opportunity cost (old/new)






Monday, April 29, 2013

Unit 5 & 6


From Short Run to Long Run
  • AS curve does not shift in response to changes in the AD curve in the short run
    • Nominal wages do not respond to the price level changes
    • Workers may not realize the impact of changes or may be under contract
Long Run
  • Period in which nominal wages are fully responsive to previous changes in price level
  • When changes occur in the short run, they result in either increased or decreased producer profits - not changes in wages paid
  • In the long run, increases in AD result in higher price level, as in the short run, but as workers demand mare $ the AS curve shifts left to equate production at the original output level, but not at a higher price
  • In the long run, the AS curve is vertical at the natural rate of unemployment (NRU), or full employment (FE) level of output. Everyone who wants a job has one and no one is enticed into or out of the market



Demand-Pull Inflation
  • Will result when an increase in demand shifts the AD curve to the right, temporarily increasing output while raising prices


Cost-Push Inflation
  • Results when an increase in input costs that shifts the AS curve to the left. In this case, the price level increase is not in response to the increase in AD, but instead the cause of price level increasing


Phillips Curve
  • Represents the relationship between unemployment and inflation
  • The trade off between inflation and unemployment only occurs in the short run
  • Given SRAS curve an increase in AD will cause price level and real output to increase which increases inflation and reduces unemployment
  • Each point on the Phillips curve corresponds to a different level of output
Long Run Phillips Curve (LRPC)
  • It occurs at the natural rate of unemployment (NRU), it is represented by a vertical line
  • There is no trade-off between unemployment and inflation in the long run
  • The economy produces at full employment (FE) output level
  • Nominal wages of workers fully incorporate any changes in price level as wages adjust to inflation over the long run
  • LRPC only shifts if the LRAS curve shifts (same determinants)
  • Increase in Un will shift LRPC rightwards
  • Decrease in Un will shift LRPC leftwards
Short Run Phillips Curve (SRPC)
  • Assumed to be stable because short run AS curve is stable
  • If inflation persist and the expected rate of inflation rises then the entire SRPC moves upward.
  • If move upward, cause of stag flation
  • If inflation expectation drop due to new technologies or then the SRPC moves downward
Supply Shocks
  • Rapid and significant increase in resource cost which causes SRAS to shift




The Natural Rate of Unemployment
  • = frictional + structural + seasonal
  • Natural rates and few worker benefits create a lower NR
Misery Index
  • Combination of inflation and unemployment in any given year
  • Single digit misery is good
  • Standard increase rate is 2-3%
  • If inflation rate persists and the expected rate of inflation rises then the entire SRPC moves upward
  • When this happens, stagflation exists
  • If inflation expectations drop, the the SRPC moves downward
Stagflation
  • Occurs when you have high unemployment and high inflation occurring at the same time
    • 1946 - 1964 = baby boom, civil rights, movement and womens' movement




Disinflation
  • When inflation decreases over time
  • You know when nominal wages increase
  • Business profits fall as prices are rising
  • Firms reduce employment thus unemployment increases
Laffer Curve
  • Relationship between tax rates and government revenue
  • The higher the tax rate you set, the less money you will collect
  • Laffer curve is controversial and debatable
  • As tax rates increase from 0, tax revenues increase from zero to some maximum level
Criticism of the Laffer Curve


  • Where the economy is actually located on the curve is difficult to determine
  • Tax cuts increase demand which can fool inflation
  • Empirical evidence suggest that the impact of tax rates on incintives was to work saving and invest are small
Supply-Side Economics or Reaganomics
  • Support policies that promote GDP growth by arguing that high marginal tax rates along with the current system of transfer payments (unemployment compensation & social security) provide disincitives to work invest innovate and undertake entrepreneur ventures.
  • Lower tax rate induces more work thus AS decrease.
  • The lower the marginal tax rate make leisure work more expensive
Trickle-Down Effect
  • The rich gets the money first then the poor
Marginal Tax Rate
  • Amount paid on the last dollar earned or on each additional dollar earned
  • SSE believe that if you reduce marginal tax rates, more people would be inclined to work longer, this foregoing leisure time for extra income
Balance of Payments
  • Measure of money inflows and outflows between the U.S. and the rest of the world (ROW)
    • Inflows are referred to as CREDITS
    • Outflows are referred to as DEBITS
  • Balance of payments is divided into 3 accounts:
    • Current account
    • Capital/financial account
    • Official reserves account





Double Entry Bookkeeping
  • Every transaction in the balance of payments is recorded twice in accourdance with standard accounting practice.
Current Account

    • Balance of Trade or Net Exports
      • Exports of good/services - imports of goods/services
      • Exports create a credit to the balance of payments
      • Imports create a debit to the balance of payments

    Net Foreign Income
    • Income earned by U.S. owned foreign assets - income paid to foreign held U.S assets.
      • Ex.) Brazilian bonds - interest payments on German owned U.S. treasury bonds





    Net Transfers (Tend to be Unilateral)

    • Foreign aid  -> a debit to the current account 
      • Mexican migrant worker sends money to family in Mexico
    Capital/Financial Account
    • Balance of capital ownership
    • Includes the purchase of both real and financial assets
    • Direct investment in the U.S is a credit to the capital account
      • Toyota factory in San Antonio
    • Direct investment by U.S. firms/individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account
      • The Intel Factory in San Jose, Costa Rice
    • Purchase of foreign financial assets reps a debit to the capital account
      • Warren Buffet buys stock in Petrochina
    • Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represents a credit to the capital account
    • United Arab Emirates Sovereign wealth, fund purchase a large stake in the NASDAQ
    Relationship between Current and Capital Account
    • Current account and the capital account should zero each other out, that is... if the current account has a negative balance (deficit), than capital account should then have a positive balance (surplus)
    Official Reserves
    • Foreign currency holdings of the U.S. states federal reserve system
    • When there is a balance of payments, surplus the Fed accumulates foreign currency and debits for balancing of payment
    • When there is a balance of payments, deficit the Fed deputes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payment
    • The official reserves zero out for balance of payments

    Monday, April 15, 2013

    Unit 4: Money, Banking and Monetary Policy



    The Uses of Money

    1. Medium of Exchange : Money's most important function used to facilitate transactions such as bartering or trading.
    2. Unit of Account : Establishes worth. Providing a common measure of the value of goods and services being exchanged
    3. Store of Value : Money holding value over a period of time



    Types of Money
    • Commodity Money :  Money that would have value even if it were not being used as money. No physical money is exchanged
              Example : Gold and silver
    • Representative Money : Backed up by something tangible
              Example :  an IOU
    • Fiat Money : Money because the government says so
              Example : Dollar bill is worth a dollar










    Characteristics of Money
    • Durability : Money is durable
    • Divisibility : There are combinations to make the same amount
    • Uniformity : It is the same in every state
    • Portability :  It is easy to carry around
    • Scarcity : Not everyone has money, or at least a lot of money
    • Acceptability : Money is acceptable everywhere






    Money Supply
    • M1 Money : it includes currency in circulation, checkable deposits (demand deposits), physical dollars and coins, traveler's checks
    • M2 Money - it includes M1 Money, Savings accounts, Money market accounts and deposits held by banks outside the United States
    Fractional Reserve System
    • A process by banks of holding a small portion of their deposits in reserve and loaning out the excess
    • Banks keep cash on hand (required reserves to meet depositor needs)
    • Banks must keep reserve deposits in their vault or at the federal reserve bank




    Total Reserves
    • Total funds held by the bank
    • Total Reserve = Required Reserve + Excess Reserve

    Excess Reserves
    • Reserves beyond those that are required
    • Banks can legally lend only to the extent of their excess reserves
    Reserve Ratio
    • Reserve Ratio = Required reserve/ total reserve
    Significance of a Fractional Reserve System
    • Banks can create money by lending more than their reserves
    • Required Reserves do not prevent bank panics because banks must keep their required reserves 
    • Reserve requirements gives the FED control over how much money banks can create
    Functions of the FED
    • Control the nation's money supply through monetary policy
    • Issue paper currency
    • Serves as a clearing house for checks
    • Regulates banking activities
    • Serves as a bank for banks 




    Balance Sheet
    • A statement of assets and claims summarizing the financial position of a firm or a bank at some point in time
    • Must balance at all times
    • Assets (own) = Liabilities + Net Worth (owe)





    Assets
    • Reserves:
            -Required Reserves (rr) - % required by Fed. to keep on hand to meet demand
            -Excess Reserves (er) - % reserves over and above the amount needed to satisfy the
            -minimum reserve ratio set by Fed.
    • Loans to firms, consumers, and other banks (earns interest)
    • Loans to govt. = treasury securities
    • Bank property - (if bank fails, you could liquidate the building/property)





    Liabilities and Equity
    • Demand Deposits (money that is put into bank)
    • Timed Deposits (CD's)
    • Loans from: Federal Reserve and other banks
    • Shareholders equity - (to set up a bank, you must invest your own money in it to have a stake in the banks success or failure)
    The Required Reserve Ratio
    • The percent of demand deposits that must be stored as vault cash or kept on reserve as federal funds in the banks accounts with the FED
    • The RR ratio determines the money multiplier (1/RR)
    • Decreasing the RR ratio increases the rate of money creation in the banking system and is contractionary
    • Changing the RR ratio is the least used tool of monetary policy and is usually held constant at 10%
    The Money Multiplier
    • Money multiplier shoes us the impact of a change in demand deposits on loans and eventually the money supply
    • The money multiplier indicates the total number of dollar created in the banking system by each $1 addition to the monetary base (bank reserves and currency in circulation)
    • To calculate the money multiplier divide 1 by the required reserve ratio
             -money multiplier = 1/reserve ratio

    Required Reserve = Amount of deposit * Required Reserve Ratio

    Excess Reserve = Total Reserves - Required Reserves

    Maximum amount a single bank can loan = The change in excess reserves caused by a deposit

    Total change in loans = Amount single bank can lend * money multiplier

    Total change in money supply = Total change in loans and amount of money of FED action

    Total change in demand deposits = Total change in loans + cash deposited

    Fiscal Policy
    • Congress
    1. Tax or
    1. Spend





    Monetary Policy
    • FED
             1. OMO (Open market operation) : buy or sell bonds
    • Expansionary - Buy bonds from the public
    • Contractionary - Sell bonds to the public
             2. Reserve Requirement : bank's mass requirement
    • Expansionary - Decrease the reserve ratio
    • Contractionary - Increase the reserve ratio
             3. Discount Rate : interest rate charged by the Fed for overnight loans to commercial 
                 banks
    • Expansionary - Decrease discount rate
    • Contractionary - Increase discount rate
             4. Federal Fund Rate : interest rate charged one commercial bank for overnight loans 
                 to another commercial bank
    • Expansionary - Decrease FFR
    • Contractionary - Increase FFR

    Prime RateThe interest rate bank charges to their credit worthy customers

    Loanable Funds Market
    • Market where savers and borrowers exchange funds (Qlf) at the real rate of interest (r%)
    • The demand for loanable funds, or borrowing comes from households, firms, government and the foreign sector. The demand for loanable funds is in fact the supply of bonds.
    • The supply of loanable funds, or savings comes from households, firms, government, and the foreign sector. The supply of loanable funds is also the demand for bonds





    Changes in Demand for Loanable Funds
    • Demand for loanable funds = borrowing (supplying bond)
    • More borrowing = more demand for loanable funds ->
    • Less borrowing = more demand for loanable funds <-
    • Government deficit spending = more borrowing = more demand for loanable funds
    • Less investment demand = less borrowing = less demand for loanable funds
    Changes in Supply of Loanable Funds
    • Supply of loanable funds = saving
    • More saving = more supply of loanable funds
    • Less saving = less supply of loanable funds
    • Government budget surplus = more saving = more supply of LF
    • Decrease in consumers' MPS = less saving = less supply of LF








    Tuesday, March 19, 2013

    Unit 3: Aggregate Supply and Demand

    Aggregate Demand (AD)  
    -shows the amount of real GDP that the private, public, and foreign sector collectively desire to purchase at each possible price level
    -the relationship between the price level and the level of real GDP is inverse






    Three Reasons AD is Downward Sloping
    -Real-Balances Effect- when the PL is high, households and businesses can't afford to purchase as much output, when PL decreases, Households and businesses can afford to purchase more output
    -Interest-Rate Effect- High PL increases the interest rate which tends to encourage investment
    -Foreign Purchases Effect- High PL increases, the demand for relatively cheaper imports increases, a lower PL increases the foreign demand for relatively cheaper US exports decrease

    Shifts in AD
    -2 parts: a change in C, Ig, G, and/or Xn
    -Multiplier Effect that produces a greater change than the original change in the 4 components
    -Increase in AD = AD ->
    -Decrease in AD = AD <-
    -More gov't spending = AD ->
    -Less gov't spending = AD <-

    Aggregate Supply (AS)
    -The level of rGDP that firms will produce at each PL





    Long-Run v. Short-Run

    -Long Run 
              -Period of time where input prices are completely flexible and adjust to changes in the PL
              -The level of RGDP is independent of the PL
    -Short-Run
              -Period of time where input prices are sticky and do not adjust to changes in the price-level
              -In the short-run, the level of Real GDP supplied is directly related to the price-level

    Long-Run Aggregate Supply (LRAS)
    -The Long-Run Aggregate Supply or LRAS marks the level of full employment in the economy (analogous
      to PPC)
    -LRAS is always vertical at full employment






    Changes in Short-Run Aggregate Supply (SRAS)
    -An increase in SRAS is seen as a shift to the right
    -A decrease is a shift to the left
    -The key to understanding shifts in SRAS is per unit cost of production
    -Per-Unit production cost = total input cost / total output

    Determinants of SRAS
    -Input prices
    -Productivity
    -Legal-institutional Environment

    Input Prices
    -Domestic Resource Prices
              -Wages (75% of all business costs)
              -Cost of capital
              -Raw Materials (commodity prices)
    -Foreign Resource Prices
              -Strong $ = lower foreign resource prices
              -Weak $ = higher foreign resource prices
    -Market Power - Monopolies and cartels that control resources control the price of those reources
    -Increase in Resource Prices means SRAS will shift LEFT
    -Decrease in Resource Prices means SRAS will shift RIGHT

    Productivity
    -Productivity = total output / total inputs
    -More productivity = lower unit production cost = SRAS shift RIGHT
    -Lower productivity = higher unit production cost = SRAS shift LEFT

    Keynesian Range
    -They believe in a horizontal curve because when the economy is below full employment A.D. shifts outward.
    -Increase in Real GDP, unemployment drops, and the price level remains constant
    -Demand creates its own supply
    -Recession (Horizontal)

    Intermediate range
    -A.S. is between Keynesian and classical range. When this occurs, both GDP and the price level increases.

    Classical range
    -In the long run the A.S. curve is vertical because the only effects of an increase in A.D. when we are already at full employment. Thus supply creates its own demand. (Say’s Law)









    The AS/AD Model
    -The equilibrium of AS & AD determines current output (GDP) and the price level (PL)

    Full Employment
    -Full employment equilibrium exists where AD intersects SRAS and LRAS at the same point






    Recessionary Gap
    -A recessionary gap exists when equilibrium occurs below full employment output

    Inflationary Gap
    -An inflationary gap exists when equilibrium occurs beyond full employment output

    Classical
    -Competition is good
    -Believes in the invisible hand
    -In the LR the economy will balance at FE
    -Trickle Down Effect - Help the rich first and everybody else second

    Keynesian
    -Competition is flawed
    -In LR, we are all dead

    LRAS (Long Run Aggregate Supply)
    -Deals with potential output
    -Are we using our resources efficiently?

    LRAS Shifts
    -Technology
    -Capital Resources
    -Growth
    -Entrepreneurship
    -Resources Available

    Investment
    -Money spent or expenditures on
              -New plants (factories)
              -Capital Equipment (machinery)
              -Technology (Hardware and software)
              -New homes
              -Inventories (goods sold by producers)






    Expected Rates of Return
    -How does business make investment decisions?
              -Cost / Benefit Analysis
    -How does business determine the benefits?
              -Expected rate of return
    -How does business count the cost?
              -Interest costs
    -How does business determine the amount of investment they undertake?
              -Compare expected rate of return to interest cost
                   -If expected return > interest cost, then invest
                   -If expected return < interest cost, then do not invest

    Real (r%) v. Nominal (i%)
    -What’s the difference?
              -Nominal is the observable rate of interest. Real subtracts out inflation (π%) and is only known ex 
                post facto.
    -How do you compute the real interest rate (r%)?
              -r% = i% - π%
    -What then, determines the cost of an investment decision?
              -The real interest rate (r%)
    -Investment Demand Curve (ID)
              -What is the shape of the investment demand curve?
                   -Downward sloping
    -Why?
              -When interest rates are high, fewer investments are profitable; when interest rates are low, more 
                investments are profitable
             -Conversely, there are few investments that yield high rates of return, and many that yield low rates of 
               return

    Shifts in Investment Demand (ID)
    -Cost of Production
    -Business taxes
    -Technological change
    -Stock of capital
    -Expectations

    Consumptions and Savings
    -Disposable income (DI)
              -Income after taxes or net income
              -DI = Gross Income - Taxes
    -Two Choices
              -With disposable income, households can either
                   -Consume (spend money on goods & services)
                   -Save (not spend money on goods & services)






    Consumption
    -Household spending
    -The ability to consume is constrained by
              -The amount of disposable income
              -The propensity to save
    -Do households consume if DI = 0?
              -Autonomous consumption
              -Dissaving


    Saving
    -Household NOT spending
    -The ability to save is constrained by
              -The amount of disposable income
    -The propensity to consume
              -Do households save if DI = 0?
                   -No

    APC & APS (Average Propensity to Consume & Average Propensity to Save)
    -APC + APS = 1
    -1 – APC = APS
    -1 – APS = APC
    -APC > 1 = Dissaver
    -–APS = Dissaver


    MPC & MPS
    -Marginal Propensity to Consume
              -Change in consumption / change in disposable income
              -% of every extra dollar earned that is spent
    -Marginal Propensity to Save
              -Change in saving / change in disposable income
              -% of every extra dollar earned that is saved
              -MPC + MPS = 1
              -1 – MPC = MPS
              -1 – MPS = MPC

    Determinants of C & S
    -Wealth
    -Expectation
    -Household Debt
    -Taxes






    MPC, MPS & Multipliers
    -The Spending Multiplier Effect
              -An initial change in spending (C, IG, G, Xn) causes a large change in aggregate spending or
               Aggregate Demand (AD).
              -Multiplier = change in AD / change in spending
              -Multiplier = change in AD / change in C, I, G, or Xn
              -Why does it happen?
                   -Expenditures and income flow continuously which sets off a spending increase in the economy.
      
    Calculating the Spending Multiplier
    -The spending multiplier can be calculated from the MPC or the MPS
    -Multiplier = 1/1-MPC or 1/MPS
    -Multipliers are (+) when there is an increase in spending and (-) when there is a decrease

    Calculating the Tax Multiplier
    -When the government taxes, the multiplier works in reverse
    -Why?
              -Because now money is leaving the circular flow
    -Tax Multiplier (note: it’s negative)
              -= -MPC / 1-MPC or –MPC / MPS
    -If there is a tax cut, then the multiplier is +, because there is now, more money in the circular flow







    Fiscal Policy
    -Changes in the expenditures or tax revenues of the federal government
    -Two tools of fiscal policy
              -Taxes - Government can increase or decrease in tax
              -Spending - government can increase or decrease in spending
    -Fiscal policy is enacted to promote our nation’s economic goals : full employment, price stability, economic growth

    Deficits, Surpluses, and Debt
    -Balanced budget
              -Revenues = Expenditures
    -Budget deficit
              -Revenues < Expenditures
    -Budget surplus
              -Revenues > Expenditures
    -Government debt
              -Sum of all deficits – sum of all surpluses
    -Government must borrow money when it runs a budget deficit
    -Government borrows from 
              -Individuals
              -Corporations
              -Financial institutions
              -Foreign entities or foreign government
    -Fiscal Policy Two Options
              -Discretionary Fiscal Policy (action)
                   -Expansionary fiscal policy – deficit
                   -Contractionary fiscal policy – surplus
    Non-Discretionary Fiscal Policy (no action)






    Discretionary v. Automatic Fiscal Policy
    -Discretionary
              -Increasing or decreasing Government spending and/or taxes in order to return the economy to full
                employment. Discretionary policy involves policy makers doing fiscal policy in response to an
                economic problem.
    -Automatic
              -Unemployment compensation & marginal tax rates are examples of automatic policies that help
                mitigate the effects of recession and inflation. Automatic fiscal policy takes place without policy
                makers having to respond to current economic problems.

    Contractionary vs. Expansionary Fiscal Policy
    -Contractionary fiscal policy : Policy designed to decrease aggregate demand
              -Strategy for controlling inflation
    -Expansion fiscal policy : policy designed to increase aggregate demand
              -Strategy for increasing GDP, combatting a recession, & reducing unemployment

    Expansionary Fiscal Policy
    -Recession is countered with expansionary policy
              -Increase government spending
              -Decrease taxes

    Contractionary Fiscal Policy
    -Inflation is countered with Contractionary policy
              -Decrease government spending
              -Increase taxes

    Tax System
    -Progressive Tax System
              -Average tax rate (tax revenue/GDP) rises with GDP
    -Proportional Tax System
              -Average tax rate remains constant as GDP changes
    -Regressive Tax System
              -Average tax rate falls with GDP
    -The more progressive the tax system, the greater the economy’s built-in stability.