Tuesday, February 19, 2013

Unit 2: National Income, Employment and Fiscal Policy

Types of Economic Systems











*command (centrally planned)
     -command owns capital and land; command controls labor
     -ex) Cuba
*traditional
     -based on habits, rituals and customs
     -most decisions are made by elders
     -discourage new ideas and technology
     -ex) tribes
*free market
     -people and firms act in their own best interest
     -buyers and sellers exchange goods and services in a free economy
     -ex) Hong Kong
*mixed
     -businesses are regulated by the government to protect the public's interest
     -ex) US, Canada, Mexico

Three Economic Questions
*1. What goods and services should be produced?
*2. How should these goods and services be produced?
*3. Who will consume these goods and services

Market
*an institution that allows buyers and sellers to trade
*Product vs. Factor Market
     -Product market
          >buyer is usually a consumer and the seller is usually a firm
     -Factor market (also known as "resource market")
          >the buyer is usually the firm and the seller is usually a factory owner
*Household vs. Firm
     -Household
          >a person or group of people that share their income










     
     -Firm
          >an organization that produces goods and services for sale










Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
*total value of all final goods and services produced in the US in a given year
*it includes all production or income earned within the US by US or foreign producers
*it does not include production by non-Americans even in the US
*formula for GDP [Expenditure vs Income approach]
     -expenditure approach = C + Ig + G + Xn
          >it is income generated from production of goods and services
          >C : personal consumption
               ~purchases of finished goods and services









       
          >Ig : gross private domestic investment
               ~new factory equipment
               ~construction of housing
               ~factory equipment maintenance
               ~unsold inventory of products built in a year













          >G : government spending
               ~government purchases of goods and services











          >Xn : net exports
               ~exports - imports














     -income approach = W + R + I + P + statistical adjustments
          >W : wages













          >R : rents










     





          >I : interest














          >P : profits
















     -Items that do not count in the GDP
          >used goods
          >gifts (a transfer)
          >stocks and bonds
          >unreported business activities
               ~ex) waiter's tips
          >illegal activities
          >financial transaction between banks and businesses
          >intermediate goods
          >unmarked activities
               ~ex) babysitting

Gross National Product (GNP)
*total value of all final goods and services produced by Americans in a year
*includes production or income by Americans anywhere in the world
*does not include production by non-Americans even in the US
*GNP = GDP + net foreign factor payment

Net Domestic Product (NDP)
*GDP adjusted for depreciation
*NDP = GDP - depreciation
     -depreciation : consumption of fixed capital

National Income (NI)
*income earned by American owned resources whether it is here or aboard
*NI = NNP - IBI
     -NNP : net national product
          >NNP = GNP - depreciation
     -IBI : indirect business taxes
*NI is also equal to GDP - IBI - depreciation - net foreign factor payment
  and CE + RI + II + CP + PI
     -CE : compensation of employees
     -RI : rent income
     -II : interest income
     -PI : proprietor's income

Disposable Personal Income (DPI)
*after tax income available for household consumption
*DPI = NI - HT + GTP
     -HT : household taxes
     -GTP : government transfer payment

Trade
*export - import
     -if net export is positive, there is a trade surplus
     -if net export is negative, there is a trade deficit

Nominal GDP
*it measures GDP in current dollars no matter what the output is
*Nominal GDP = P x Q
     -P : price
     -Q : quantity

Real GDP
*it measures GDP in constant dollars and is adjusted for inflation
*Real GDP = P(of base year) x Q

GDP Deflator
*the measure of the level of prices of all new domestically produced final goods and services in an economy
*GDP deflator = (nominal GDP / real GDP) x 100

Inflation rate 
*rise in general level of prices
*[ (price index in year 2 - price index in year 1) / price index in year 1 ] x 100

Consumer Price Index (CPI)
*most widely used measure of the overall price level in the US
*(price of the market basket in the particular year / prices of the same market basket in other year) x 100

Inflation
*rise in general level of prices
*ex) a dollar today might buy less tomorrow

Deflation
*a decline in the general level or prices

Solving Inflation Problems
*rule of 70
     -how many years will it take to double inflation
     -70 / growth rate
*inflation rate = (new price index - old price index) / old price index

Finding Real Interest Rates
*real interest rate = nominal interest rate - inflation
*2 to 3% inflation is ideal
*it is the cost of borrowing or lending money that is adjusted for expected inflation

Nominal Interest Rate
*it is an unadjusted cost of borrowing or lending money

Causes of Inflation
*demand-pull
     -it is caused by an excess of demand over output that pulls prices upward
     -output and employment rise while the price level is also rising
     -spending increases faster than production
     -it causes :
          >increase in government purchase
          >excessive increases in money supply (creates a condition called hyperinflation)
               ~hyperinflation : rapid rise in inflation rate
          >rising income as economy approaches full employment output
*cost-push
     -caused by rise in per unit production cost due to increasing resource cost
     -two sources of this
          >supply shocks : dramatic rise in energy or raw material prices due to input shortages or growing
                                    demand in inputs
          >price wage spiral : where workers seek higher wages to offset rising consumer prices

Effects of Inflation
*anticipated vs. unanticipated inflation
     -anticipated inflation
          >has stronger effects because those expecting inflation may be able to adjust their work or
            spending habits to avoid or lessen the effect
     -wages and pension
          >may have cost of living adjustments (cola) built in to offset anticipated inflation
*people who are hurt or helped
     -fixed income
          >they will be hurt because their real income suffers; their nominal income does not rise with prices
     -savers
          >hurt by unanticipated inflation because inflation takes away from the interest earned from the account
     -lenders
          >hurt by unanticipated inflation because debt is repaid with cheaper dollars
     -borrowers
          >helped because they can pay their debt with cheaper dollars

Unemployment
*failure to use available resources
*types of unemployment :
     -frictional
          >temporary, transitional, short-termed, searching for a job or in between a job
          >ex) graduates in high school or college, people who quit or is fired, people looking for a better job
          >signals that new jobs are available and reflects freedom of choice
     -cyclical
          >economic downturn in business cycle, different demand for goods and services
          >caused by recession (if you lose a job due to recession, that job can come back)
     -structural
          >deals with technology
          >caused by automating (means job can be obsolete due to changes in consumer's taste)
          >also caused by creative destruction (as jobs are created, others are lost)
          >another cause is change in skills
     -seasonal
          >jobs that depend on season or weather
          >ex) lifeguards, Santa Claus, Easter bunny, construction workers
*unemployment rate = (number of unemployed / total labor force) x 100
     -4 to 6% is standard unemployment rate
*employed
     -includes those that are self-employed
*unemployed
     -new entrants
     -re-entrants
     -laid off
     -lost last job
     -quit last job
*not in labor force
     -armed services
     -homemakers
     -students
     -retirees
     -disabled people
     -people in mental institutions
     -people in prison

Full Employment (FE)
*natural rate of unemployment (NRU)
*it is equal to structural and frictional unemployment
*full employment does not mean zero unemployment

Okun's law
*describes how unemployment relates to a nation's GDP
*states that for every 1% unemployment above NRU, a negative GDP gap of 2% will occur

Unequal burdens of unemployment
*rates are lower for white-collar workers
*teenagers have the highest rates
*blacks have higher rates than whites
*rates for males and females are comparable